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001 978-3-319-94992-5
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008 180823s2018 gw | s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9783319949925
_9978-3-319-94992-5
050 4 _aQ334-342
072 7 _aUYQ
_2bicssc
072 7 _aCOM004000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aUYQ
_2thema
082 0 4 _a006.3
_223
100 1 _aBarba Maggi, Lida Mercedes.
_eauthor.
_4aut
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
245 1 0 _aMultiscale Forecasting Models
_h[electronic resource] /
_cby Lida Mercedes Barba Maggi.
250 _a1st ed. 2018.
264 1 _aCham :
_bSpringer International Publishing :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2018.
300 _aXXIV, 124 p. 91 illus., 89 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
500 _aAcceso multiusuario
505 0 _aDedication -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgement -- List of Tables -- List of Figures -- Acronyms -- 1. Times Series Analysis -- 2. Forecasting based on Hankel Singular Value Decomposition -- 3.Multi-step ahead forecasting -- 4. Multilevel Singular Value Decomposition.
520 _aThis book presents two new decomposition methods to decompose a time series in intrinsic components of low and high frequencies. The methods are based on Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of a Hankel matrix (HSVD). The proposed decomposition is used to improve the accuracy of linear and nonlinear auto-regressive models. Linear Auto-regressive models (AR, ARMA and ARIMA) and Auto-regressive Neural Networks (ANNs) have been found insufficient because of the highly complicated nature of some time series. Hybrid models are a recent solution to deal with non-stationary processes which combine pre-processing techniques with conventional forecasters, some pre-processing techniques broadly implemented are Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and Stationary Wavelet Transform (SWT). Although the flexibility of SSA and SWT allows their usage in a wide range of forecast problems, there is a lack of standard methods to select their parameters. The proposed decomposition HSVD and Multilevel SVD are described in detail through time series coming from the transport and fishery sectors. Further, for comparison purposes, it is evaluated the forecast accuracy reached by SSA and SWT, both jointly with AR-based models and ANNs.
541 _fUABC ;
_cTemporal ;
_d01/01/2021-12/31/2023.
650 0 _aArtificial intelligence.
650 0 _aMathematical statistics.
650 0 _aAlgebra.
650 1 4 _aArtificial Intelligence.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/I21000
650 2 4 _aProbability and Statistics in Computer Science.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/I17036
650 2 4 _aAlgebra.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/M11000
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer Nature eBook
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319949918
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319949932
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030069506
856 4 0 _zLibro electrónico
_uhttp://148.231.10.114:2048/login?url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-94992-5
912 _aZDB-2-SCS
912 _aZDB-2-SXCS
942 _cLIBRO_ELEC
999 _c242610
_d242609